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This is a fascinating thread, it’s (supposedly) a translation of a report from a serving FSB officer.
🧵My translation of the analysis of the current situation in Russia by an active FSB analyst. Buckle up for a long thread and definitely please share far & wide. The full text is over 2000 words. This is a highly insightful look behind the curtain – covers many subjects.
— Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) March 6, 2022
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The Russian efforts to control the information environment in Russia are now reaching extreme levels. They are stopping people in the street, demanding access to their phones and reading their messages to see if they are acceptable to the state. Truly Orwellian.…Read More
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Increasingly seeing signs from expert commentators that the Russia collapse may actually happen as suggested by less informed individuals. There’s still a lot of people urging caution, but maybe now we can start being hopeful?
A tweet thread on why we are almost certainly overestimating the amount of strength the Russian Army has on hand, and the amount they can actually get to Ukraine when their first force losses get so high that it starts becoming combat ineffective. Yes, its logistics. @BoringWar
— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) March 5, 2022
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In more related content, everyone who hasn’t seen this video yet should watch it now…
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Here’s an interesting thread on the types of conflicts Russia has been involved in since the fall of the USSR. This latest conflict is unlike anything modern Russia has tried before, and in the long run has almost no benefits, even if they beat Ukraine.
I wonder if what looks ever more like a huge military, economic, and strategic disaster for Russia is a product of a category error by Putin, who failed to appreciate what type of Russian military action he was starting. (A thread – apologies for the length.)
— Ruth Deyermond (@ruth_deyermond) March 4, 2022
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